Washington, USA: With Donald Trump returning to office, uncertainty looms for those eyeing the H1B lottery. His previous tough stance on immigration and the potential for even stricter policies have stirred up concerns. Many are questioning whether applying is worth the risk, wondering if the H1B lottery will become harder to navigate under his leadership, or if things will remain unchanged.

The 2025 H1B season saw an unprecedented 780,000 applicants vying for just 85,000 available spots, making it one of the most fiercely competitive years on record. Trump's return raises speculation that the number of applicants could decrease in 2026, but will it? Historically, Indians, who make up the largest group of H1B applicants, are unlikely to pull back. The dream of working in the U.S. remains deeply rooted and won’t easily fade.

Despite the growing tension, the appeal of the H1B lottery is undeniable—attractive salaries, improved career opportunities, and the potential path to a Green Card continue to draw people in. Many are prepared to try their luck again, knowing that once they’re in the U.S., switching jobs and securing long-term visas becomes more achievable. First-time applicants are hopeful, while those who’ve faced past rejection see 2026 as their final opportunity.

Meanwhile, an increasing number of professionals are reconsidering their options. The unpredictability of the lottery system, the anxiety of waiting, and the lack of job security are leading many to explore alternatives such as Canada, the UK, or Germany. Some are even turning their attention to India, where the tech industry is booming and salaries are on the rise.

So, will the number of H1B applicants for 2026 decrease, or will it continue to rise? It’s hard to say, but with the stakes so high and the uncertainty hanging in the air, it’s clear that this year will be one to watch closely. One thing is certain—the determination of thousands hoping for a chance at the American Dream remains unshaken.