Islamabad, Pakistan: The Asia Cup 2025 is heading towards an exciting finish as the two best-performing teams are set to battle it out in the final on Sunday.
While India and Pakistan’s historic rivalry always captures attention, fans from both nations are keeping a close eye on the Super 4 stage to see whether the much-anticipated final between the archrivals will actually happen. Pakistan’s five-wicket victory over Sri Lanka on Tuesday (September 23) has kept the competition wide open, sparking endless discussions about qualification scenarios.
Following that win, Pakistan sit on 2 points from 2 matches — the same tally as India and Bangladesh. Sri Lanka, however, has been knocked out after suffering consecutive defeats. Currently, India is at the top of the table thanks to their superior net run rate (+0.689), followed by Pakistan (+0.226) and Bangladesh (+0.121).
- Updated Super 4 Points Table (after Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, Sept 23)
- India – 2 points, NRR +0.689 (2 matches left)
- Pakistan – 2 points, NRR +0.226 (1 match left)
- Bangladesh – 2 points, NRR +0.121 (2 matches left)
- Sri Lanka – 0 points, already eliminated
- What Each Team Needs to Reach the Final
India
- Just one win (either against Bangladesh on Sept 24 or Sri Lanka on Sept 26) ensures their place in the final.
- Even with one defeat, their net run rate provides them with a strong safety cushion.
- If they lose both matches, their qualification will depend on the net run rate compared to Pakistan and Bangladesh.
Pakistan
- Must beat Bangladesh on Sept 25 to move to 4 points and qualify directly.
- A loss against Bangladesh will end their campaign, as Bangladesh will advance to 4 points.
Complicated Scenarios
- All on 4 points – If India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh all finish with 4 points, net run rate will decide the two finalists.
- India lost twice + Pakistan lost to Bangladesh. Bangladesh qualify with 4 points. The second finalist will then be decided on net run rate among India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka (all stuck at 2 points).
Most Probable Final
India vs Pakistan
- India needs to win at least one of their two remaining matches.
- Pakistan must defeat Bangladesh.
If Pakistan fail to overcome Bangladesh, then the final is expected to be India vs Bangladesh.
Upcoming Matches
- Sept 24: India vs Bangladesh
- Sept 25: Pakistan vs Bangladesh
- Sept 26: India vs Sri Lanka
The top two teams at the end of the Super 4 stage will play in the Asia Cup 2025 final on Sunday.
