The latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey highlights a competitive presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, with both candidates nearly tied in critical swing states just weeks before the election.

In Arizona, Trump leads with 49% compared to Harris's 47%. Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania show Trump with a slight edge, also at 49% to Harris's 48%. Meanwhile, both candidates are tied at 49% in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Harris holds a narrow lead in Nevada with 48% support. Since the last poll three weeks ago, Harris has made gains in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania but has lost ground in Arizona and North Carolina, while Trump has gained support in Pennsylvania and North Carolina but lost some in Georgia and Nevada.

Demographic factors are crucial in this election, as Harris is performing better than President Biden among Asian and younger voters but struggles with older voters and independents. In contrast, Trump maintains solid support in Wisconsin, suggesting he may have hit a ceiling in his appeal. Union households are also pivotal; in Michigan, Harris leads among union voters, while Trump holds a narrow advantage among non-union voters. In Wisconsin, Harris leads by a significant margin among union households, while Trump is favored by non-union voters. In Pennsylvania, Trump enjoys support from union households, but Harris has a slight edge among non-union voters.

Economic issues dominate voter concerns in most states, although immigration is the primary issue in Arizona, where 30% of voters prioritize it. As the election approaches, these issues will play a critical role in swaying undecided voters.